Crawley Town vs Brentford U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
Brentford U21 starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brentford U21 have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stoke City U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wycombe U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 2-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-0 | Professional Development League |
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford U21 score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Brentford U21 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Brentford U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 played?
- Crawley Town vs Brentford U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.