Rotherham vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Rotherham the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,697) and Crawley Town (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Crawley Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rotherham win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Crawley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Rotherham 0-4 Crawley Town | League One |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Crawley Town 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Rotherham 2-2 Crawley Town | League One |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Crawley Town 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Crawley Town 3-0 Rotherham | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Rotherham 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rotherham vs Crawley Town on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 17th in League Two (1 points from 2 matches) and Crawley Town sit 15th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Rotherham the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Crawley Town played?
- Rotherham vs Crawley Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.