Rotherham vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rotherham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,710) and Crawley Town (1,681).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
4-2-3-1- 10P. Mullin
- 4J. Austerfield
- 6O. Ashley
- 24J. Buyabu
- 8K. Spence
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 12D. Hall
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 5K. Ngwenya
- 13J. Eyestone
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 9D. Orsi
- 8L. Watson
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 24A. Odimayo
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Crawley Town have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rotherham win, 1 draw, 4 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Rotherham 0-4 Crawley Town | League One |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Crawley Town 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Rotherham 2-2 Crawley Town | League One |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Crawley Town 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Crawley Town 3-0 Rotherham | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Rotherham 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rotherham vs Crawley Town on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 20th in League Two (10 points from 10 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rotherham the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Crawley Town played?
- Rotherham vs Crawley Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.