Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Park, London
The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Cray Wanderers (1,858) and Burgess Hill Town (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cray Wanderers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cray Wanderers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 4-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cray Wanderers 3-3 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Burgess Hill Town 2-2 Cray Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs Cray Wanderers on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cray Wanderers sit 15th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cray Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Cray Wanderers vs Burgess Hill Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027DartfordvsCheshunt
- Jan 23, 2027St Albans CityvsLeatherhead
- Jan 23, 2027RamsgatevsBrentwood Town
- Jan 23, 2027Three BridgesvsWelling United
- Jan 23, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Jan 23, 2027Enfield TownvsAveley
- Jan 23, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsWhitehawk
- Jan 23, 2027Dulwich HamletvsEastbourne Borough