St Albans City vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Clarence Park, St. Albans, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Albans City vs Leatherhead?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Albans City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St Albans City sit 13th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Albans City vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is St Albans City vs Leatherhead played?
- St Albans City vs Leatherhead is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Clarence Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027DartfordvsCheshunt
- Jan 23, 2027RamsgatevsBrentwood Town
- Jan 23, 2027Three BridgesvsWelling United
- Jan 23, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Jan 23, 2027Cray WanderersvsBurgess Hill Town
- Jan 23, 2027Enfield TownvsAveley
- Jan 23, 2027Wingate & FinchleyvsWhitehawk
- Jan 23, 2027Dulwich HamletvsEastbourne Borough