Crema vs USD Casatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs USD Casatese?
USD Casatese starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; USD Casatese have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crema win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 USD Casatese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Crema 0-2 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 2, 2024 | USD Casatese 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 5, 2024 | USD Casatese 0-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Crema 0-3 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Crema 0-0 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 24, 2021 | USD Casatese 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Crema vs USD Casatese on Jan 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; USD Casatese score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| USD Casatese | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 47 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs USD Casatese?
- The Footlab model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Crema.
- Where and when is Crema vs USD Casatese played?
- Crema vs USD Casatese is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.