Crema vs USD Casatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If USD Casatese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs USD Casatese?
USD Casatese starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,536).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crema vs USD Casatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
USD Casatese
Not enough data to predict the USD Casatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; USD Casatese have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crema win, 1 draw, 4 USD Casatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Crema 0-2 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 2, 2024 | USD Casatese 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 5, 2024 | USD Casatese 0-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Crema 0-3 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Crema 0-0 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 24, 2021 | USD Casatese 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Crema vs USD Casatese on Jan 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; USD Casatese score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| USD Casatese | 1.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crema sit 15th in Serie D - Girone D (5 points from 7 matches) and USD Casatese sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Crema vs USD Casatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs USD Casatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Crema.
- Where and when is Crema vs USD Casatese played?
- Crema vs USD Casatese is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.