USD Casatese vs Oltrepò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, Casatenovo
The Footlab model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Oltrepò. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Oltrepò?
USD Casatese starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USD Casatese have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Oltrepò have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sondrio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Real Calepina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 USD Casatese win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Oltrepò win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | USD Casatese 0-1 Oltrepò | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Oltrepò 1-3 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: USD Casatese vs Oltrepò on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USD Casatese score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oltrepò score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Oltrepò | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USD Casatese vs Oltrepò?
- The Footlab model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Oltrepò.
- Where and when is USD Casatese vs Oltrepò played?
- USD Casatese vs Oltrepò is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale n.2, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.