Crewe vs Carlisle: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 12, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
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What was the result of Crewe vs Carlisle?
Crewe won 2-1 on February 12, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 3′C. PorterCrewe
- 29′G. MillerCarlisle
- 73′S. MillerCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | Macclesfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Newport County(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Morecambe(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | Exeter City(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Port Vale(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Northampton(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Mansfield Town(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crewe win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Crewe 0-1 Carlisle | FA Cup |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Crewe 0-5 Carlisle | League Two |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Carlisle 0-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Crewe 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy