Crewe vs Carlisle: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 10, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Carlisle?
Carlisle won 0-1 on November 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. DevittCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Grimsby(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | Newport County(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2018 | Lincoln(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crewe win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Carlisle 1-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Crewe 0-5 Carlisle | League Two |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Carlisle 0-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Crewe 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Crewe 2-1 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy