Crewe vs Cheltenham: result 1-4 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round ReplaysKick-off on November 15, 2016 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Cheltenham?
Cheltenham won 1-4 on November 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 19′H. PellCheltenham
- 36′J. BarthramCheltenham
- 52′B. WatersCheltenham
- 61′Daniel HolmanCheltenham
- 64′Ryan LoweCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cheltenham have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | Plymouth(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2016 | Chesterfield(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2016 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Blackpool(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Grimsby(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Crewe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cheltenham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | Cheltenham 1-1 Crewe | FA Cup |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Cheltenham 2-0 Crewe | League Two |
| May 27, 2012 | Cheltenham 0-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Crewe 1-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Cheltenham 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy