Cheltenham vs Crewe: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 5, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Cheltenham vs Crewe?
Cheltenham and Crewe drew 1-1 on November 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 58′B. WatersCheltenham
- 73′J. JonesCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Crewe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Blackpool(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Grimsby(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Crawley Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Everton U23(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Notts County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Luton(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Wolves U23(home) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cheltenham win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Cheltenham 2-0 Crewe | League Two |
| May 27, 2012 | Cheltenham 0-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Crewe 1-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Cheltenham 0-1 Crewe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Crewe | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy