Crewe vs Derby: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 5, 2023 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Derby?
Crewe and Derby drew 2-2 on November 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′C. Baker-RichardsonCrewe
- 54′E. NevittCrewe
- 89′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
- 90′C. HourihaneDerby
Official lineup for Crewe vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Crewe
5-3-2- 20E. Nevitt
- 9C. Baker-Richardson
- 3R. Adebisi
- 8C. Thomas
- 30J. White
- 28L. Billington
- 5M. Demetriou
- 15C. O'Riordan
- 6L. Offord
- 2R. Cooney
- 1H. Davies
Derby
4-2-3-1- 14C. Washington
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 8M. Bird
- 7T. Barkhuizen
- 12K. Smith
- 4C. Hourihane
- 3C. Forsyth
- 5S. Bradley
- 35C. Nelson
- 24R. Nyambe
- 1J. Wildsmith
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Crawley Town(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Tranmere(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Wrexham(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Stevenage(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Notts County(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Crewe vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy