Crewe vs Derby: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 5, 2023 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Derby?
Crewe and Derby drew 2-2 on November 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′C. Baker-RichardsonCrewe
- 54′E. NevittCrewe
- 89′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
- 90′C. HourihaneDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Crawley Town(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Tranmere(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Wrexham(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Stevenage(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Notts County(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy