Crewe vs Notts County: result 1-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 18, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Crewe vs Notts County?
Notts County won 1-2 on August 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 40′F. ZokoNotts County
- 58′Y. ArquinNotts County
- 73′Mathias Fassou PogbaCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Notts County have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Hartlepool(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| May 27, 2012 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| May 16, 2012 | Southend(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| May 12, 2012 | Southend(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| May 5, 2012 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 5, 2012 | Colchester(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Wycombe(away) | 4-3 | League One |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Bury(home) | 2-4 | League One |
| Apr 14, 2012 | Brentford(away) | 0-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Notts County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy