Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Notts County (1,860) and AFC Wimbledon (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1- 9J. Stockley
- 3S. Seddon
- 5O. Harrison
- 8C. Maycock
- 12A. Smith
- 29A. Sasu
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 33I. Ogundere
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Notts County win, 0 draws, 5 AFC Wimbledon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| May 10, 2025 | Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 8, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Notts County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.