Match

Crotone vs Potenza: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone

CrotonePotenza

The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crotone vs Potenza?

Potenza starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,723).

21%22%57%
Crotone winDrawPotenza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crotone vs Potenza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 12A. Martino

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Potenza have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Foggia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026AZ Picerno(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Barletta(away)4-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Cavese(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Bari(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crotone wins, 3 draws, 1 Potenza win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Crotone 2-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 10, 2025Potenza 3-1 CrotoneCoppa Italia Serie C
Sep 12, 2025Potenza 3-3 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Feb 8, 2025Crotone 4-1 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 29, 2024Potenza 3-3 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C
Mar 30, 2024Potenza 2-2 CrotoneSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Crotone vs Potenza on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crotone1.21.7110/157/15
Potenza2.11.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crotone sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 9 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza9711241222
20Crotone913510150

A question about Crotone vs Potenza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Potenza?
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Crotone.
Where and when is Crotone vs Potenza played?
Crotone vs Potenza is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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