Match

Catania vs Audace Cerignola: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania

CataniaAudace Cerignola

The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Audace Cerignola. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Catania vs Audace Cerignola?

On Elo ratings, Catania has 1,811 points and Audace Cerignola 1,760.

61%23%16%
Catania winDrawAudace Cerignola win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Catania vs Audace Cerignola

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 9M. Coda
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 4A. Vallocchia
  3. 18N. Cavuoti
  1. 15M. Di Gennaro
  2. 32E. Masciangelo
  3. 68M. Ierardi
  4. 5M. Perrotta
  1. 57A. Dini

Audace Cerignola

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Vinciguerra
  2. 10L. D'Orazio
  3. 9D. Gambale
  1. 58C. Cretella
  2. 4G. Vitale
  3. 68M. Sellaf
  1. 23A. Gasbarro
  2. 55M. Cocorocchio
  3. 27A. Boccadamo
  4. 37A. Silvestro
  1. 22A. Viola

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Audace Cerignola have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026AZ Picerno(away)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Audace Cerignola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Crotone(away)3-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Team Altamura(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026AZ Picerno(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Casertana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Casarano(away)0-1Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Catania win, 3 draws, 2 Audace Cerignola wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Catania 0-0 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 28, 2025Audace Cerignola 0-0 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 2, 2025Audace Cerignola 2-0 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Sep 25, 2024Catania 0-0 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 15, 2024Catania 2-1 Audace CerignolaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 12, 2023Audace Cerignola 1-0 CataniaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Catania vs Audace Cerignola on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Audace Cerignola score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Catania1.51.638/1511/15
Audace Cerignola1.41.3410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Catania sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (16 points from 9 matches) and Audace Cerignola sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Catania9513171016
6Audace Cerignola942314914

A question about Catania vs Audace Cerignola?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Catania vs Audace Cerignola?
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Audace Cerignola.
Where and when is Catania vs Audace Cerignola played?
Catania vs Audace Cerignola is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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