Catania vs Audace Cerignola: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 31Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Audace Cerignola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catania vs Audace Cerignola?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Catania (1,871) and Audace Cerignola (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Audace Cerignola have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| May 27, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Catania win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Audace Cerignola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Catania 0-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 0-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 2-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Catania 0-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Catania 2-1 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Audace Cerignola 1-0 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Catania vs Audace Cerignola on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Audace Cerignola score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Audace Cerignola | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catania sit 15th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Audace Cerignola sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catania vs Audace Cerignola?
- The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Audace Cerignola.
- Where and when is Catania vs Audace Cerignola played?
- Catania vs Audace Cerignola is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.