Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 11, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 2-1 on November 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 44′Rogério Mücke CeniSao Paulo (pen.)
- 61′André Luiz Barretto Silva LimaGremio
- 85′M. MorenoGremio
Official lineup for Gremio vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
- MM. Moreno
- JJosé Roberto da Silva Júnior
- LLeonardo David de Moura
- MMarcos Antônio Miranda Filho
- SSouza
- FFernando
- AAnderson Pico
- PPará
- SSaimon
- NNaldo
- MMarcelo Grohe
Sao Paulo
- LLucas Moura
- LLuís Fabiano Clemente
- OOsvaldo
- DDenílson Pereira Neves
- JJádson Rodrigues da Silva
- LLuiz Rhodolfo Dini Gaioto
- DDouglas Pereira
- RR. Tolói
- BBruno Cortez
- CCasemiro
- RRogério Mücke Ceni
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Sao Paulo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Figueirense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 2 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2011 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2010 | Gremio 4-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2010 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 31 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 9th (43 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 43 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy