Cruzeiro vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 17, 2011 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro won 2-1 on July 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 4′WallysonCruzeiro
- 14′Jobson Leandro Pereira de OliveiraBahia
- 52′WallysonCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 2, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2011 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Gremio(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 29, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 19, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2011 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Avai(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy