Coritiba vs Fluminense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 16, 2011 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Coritiba won 3-1 on July 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 15′Marcos Aurélio de Oliveira LimaCoritiba
- 25′Fabio Pereira Da CruzCoritiba
- 51′BillCoritiba
- 78′Matheus CarvalhoFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 3 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 7, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Ceara(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 19, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Bahia(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Corinthians(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 10th in Serie A (31 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy