Cruzeiro vs Gremio: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on July 15, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-3 on July 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 26′M. MorenoGremio
- 29′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasGremio
- 65′M. MorenoGremio
- 90′Wellington PaulistaCruzeiro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Figueirense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cruzeiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2010 | Gremio 2-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 25, 2010 | Cruzeiro 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy