Corinthians vs Gremio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gremio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corinthians wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corinthians vs Gremio?
On Elo ratings, Corinthians has 1,809 points and Gremio 1,809.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Corinthians vs Gremio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Corinthians
4-2-3-1- 9Yuri Alberto
- 10M. Depay
- 7Breno
- 14Raniele
- 49Andre
- 37Kaio César
- 13Gustavo Henrique
- 21Matheus Bidu
- 2Matheuzinho
- 3Gabriel Paulista
- 1Hugo Souza
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 20M. Villasanti
- 7C. Pavón
- 9F. Amuzu
- 15Danilo Barbosa
- 10F. Krovinović
- 82Wallace
- 4W. Kannemann
- 27Diego Caito
- 23Marlon
- 1Weverton
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Gremio have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Remo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Corinthians wins, 3 draws, 0 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Gremio 1-3 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Corinthians 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Gremio 1-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Gremio 0-3 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2024 | Gremio 0-0 Corinthians | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Corinthians 0-0 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Corinthians on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 16th in Serie A (32 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Corinthians vs Gremio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Gremio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gremio.
- Where and when is Corinthians vs Gremio played?
- Corinthians vs Gremio is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Maracanã, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.