Cruzeiro vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 1, 2016 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro won 1-0 on October 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 72′Henrique Pacheco de LimaCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2016 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2016 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2016 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cruzeiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2016 | Gremio 2-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2015 | Cruzeiro 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 2, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2014 | Gremio 1-2 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Cruzeiro 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 5th in Serie A (39 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy