CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Deportivo Saprissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate CS Cartagines (1,797) and Deportivo Saprissa (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Cartagines have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FAS(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verdes(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CS Cartagines win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2026 | CS Cartagines 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| Dec 12, 2025 | CS Cartagines 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 CS Cartagines | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Cartagines on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Cartagines score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Cartagines | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CS Cartagines sit 4th in Primera División (9 points from 5 matches) and Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | CS Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes CS Cartagines the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Deportivo Saprissa.
- Where and when is CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.