Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
The Footlab model makes Sporting San Jose the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Sporting San Jose (1,715) and San Carlos (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting San Jose have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; San Carlos have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sporting San Jose win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 San Carlos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Jan 19, 2026 | San Carlos 3-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2025 | San Carlos 0-3 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 1-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| May 3, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Jan 21, 2025 | San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting San Jose sit 5th in Primera División (8 points from 5 matches) and San Carlos sit 6th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting San Jose the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos played?
- Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.