CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
The Footlab model makes CS Herediano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Liberia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate CS Herediano (1,794) and Municipal Liberia (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS Herediano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Municipal Liberia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CS Herediano win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Municipal Liberia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | CS Herediano 1-2 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2025 | CS Herediano 1-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Municipal Liberia 0-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CS Herediano 2-1 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CS Herediano score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Herediano | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | CS Herediano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?
- The Footlab model makes CS Herediano the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Municipal Liberia.
- Where and when is CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia played?
- CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.