San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
The Footlab AI model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
LD Alajuelense starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Carlos
4-3-3- 20C. Agualimpia
- 18J. Aguilar
- 38K. Gomez
- 10K. Cerdas
- 21J. Venegas
- 11R. Córdoba
- 22J. Aguero
- 17J. Evans
- 6Y. Piedra
- 16Gerardo Castillo Cespedes
- 23J. Vega
LD Alajuelense
4-5-1- 18R. Cisneros
- 13A. Gamboa
- 10J. Añor
- 99K. Michel
- 14R. Wilson
- 35R. Parkins
- 3G. González
- 28Yerlan Sosa
- 42John Paul Ruíz
- 22R. Matarrita
- 23W. Ortega
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Carlos have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; LD Alajuelense have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 30, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Carlos win, 1 draw, 4 LD Alajuelense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 0-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2026 | San Carlos 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Dec 7, 2025 | San Carlos 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 2-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Carlos score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; LD Alajuelense score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| LD Alajuelense | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Carlos sit 4th in Primera División (25 points from 15 matches) and LD Alajuelense sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San Carlos | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | LD Alajuelense | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
A question about San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
- The Footlab AI model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense played?
- San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.