San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for San Carlos. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
LD Alajuelense starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Carlos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; LD Alajuelense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Carlos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 LD Alajuelense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 0-1 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2026 | San Carlos 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Dec 7, 2025 | San Carlos 0-2 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 2-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Carlos score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Carlos sit 6th in Primera División (6 points from 5 matches) and LD Alajuelense sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for San Carlos.
- Where and when is San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense played?
- San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.