CS U Craiova II vs CSM Targu Jiu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centrul Turistic pentru Agrement si Sport Dolj, Craiova
The Footlab model makes CS U Craiova II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for CSM Targu Jiu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CS U Craiova II vs CSM Targu Jiu?
CS U Craiova II starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,588 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CS U Craiova II have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; CSM Targu Jiu have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(away) | 4-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
CS U Craiova II score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS U Craiova II | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CS U Craiova II vs CSM Targu Jiu?
- The Footlab model makes CS U Craiova II the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for CSM Targu Jiu.
- Where and when is CS U Craiova II vs CSM Targu Jiu played?
- CS U Craiova II vs CSM Targu Jiu is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centrul Turistic pentru Agrement si Sport Dolj, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.