Păușești vs Academica Balș: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Comunal, Pietrari
The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Păușești. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Păușești vs Academica Balș?
Academica Balș starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,486 vs 1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Păușești have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Academica Balș have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Bascov(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Păușești win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Academica Balș win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Păușești 2-1 Academica Balș | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Păușești vs Academica Balș on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Păușești score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Academica Balș score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Păușești | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Academica Balș | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Păușești | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Păușești vs Academica Balș?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Păușești.
- Where and when is Păușești vs Academica Balș played?
- Păușești vs Academica Balș is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.