CSKA Sofia vs OFI: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for OFI. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia (1,950) and OFI (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; OFI have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 CSKA Sofia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 OFI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; OFI score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| OFI | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for OFI.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs OFI played?
- CSKA Sofia vs OFI is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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