Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dunav Ruse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dunav Ruse win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 CSKA Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 3-1 Dunav Ruse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 14, 2019 | CSKA Sofia 4-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 0-2 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Aug 5, 2018 | CSKA Sofia 3-0 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and CSKA Sofia sit 3rd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Dunav Ruse.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia played?
- Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.