CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Adjud
The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for CSM Adjud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc?
Târgu Secuiesc starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,379).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Adjud have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Târgu Secuiesc have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CSM Adjud win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Târgu Secuiesc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud 2-1 Târgu Secuiesc | Cupa României |
| Nov 30, 2024 | CSM Adjud 2-2 Târgu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Târgu Secuiesc 3-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Adjud score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Târgu Secuiesc score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Adjud | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Târgu Secuiesc | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc?
- The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for CSM Adjud.
- Where and when is CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc played?
- CSM Adjud vs Târgu Secuiesc is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.