CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Adjud
The Footlab model makes CSM Adjud the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate CSM Adjud (1,379) and USV Iaşi (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Adjud have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CSM Adjud win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 USV Iaşi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | USV Iaşi 1-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | USV Iaşi 2-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CSM Adjud 3-2 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Adjud score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Adjud | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM Adjud sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 1 (35 points from 7 matches) and USV Iaşi sit 3rd (37 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Adjud the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi played?
- CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.