CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Jiul Petroşani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate CSM Targu Jiu (1,473) and Jiul Petroşani (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Targu Jiu have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Jiul Petroşani have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 CSM Targu Jiu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jiul Petroşani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSM Targu Jiu 3-1 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Jiul Petroşani 2-0 CSM Targu Jiu | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jiul Petroşani score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Jiul Petroşani | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM Targu Jiu sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 6 (43 points from 7 matches) and Jiul Petroşani sit 4th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Jiul Petroşani | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Jiul Petroşani.
- Where and when is CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani played?
- CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.