CSM Targu Jiu vs Păușești: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Păușești. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSM Targu Jiu vs Păușești?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate CSM Targu Jiu (1,473) and Păușești (1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSM Targu Jiu have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Păușești have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Bascov(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 CSM Targu Jiu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Păușești win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești 0-2 CSM Targu Jiu | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești 0-2 CSM Targu Jiu | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CSM Targu Jiu 1-0 Păușești | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Păușești 3-0 CSM Targu Jiu | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Păușești vs CSM Targu Jiu on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Păușești score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Păușești | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSM Targu Jiu sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 6 (43 points from 7 matches) and Păușești sit 5th (39 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Păușești | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSM Targu Jiu vs Păușești?
- The Footlab model makes CSM Targu Jiu the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Păușești.
- Where and when is CSM Targu Jiu vs Păușești played?
- CSM Targu Jiu vs Păușești is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.