Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, Valea Ursului
The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Unirea Bascov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni?
Minerul Lupeni starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Bascov have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Minerul Lupeni have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Dăești(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gilortul(away) | 5-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 30, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unirea Bascov win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Minerul Lupeni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Unirea Bascov 3-0 Minerul Lupeni | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Minerul Lupeni 3-1 Unirea Bascov | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Bascov score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Bascov | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Minerul Lupeni | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unirea Bascov sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 6 (32 points from 7 matches) and Minerul Lupeni sit 2nd (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 40 |
| 6 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni?
- The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Unirea Bascov.
- Where and when is Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni played?
- Unirea Bascov vs Minerul Lupeni is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Teren fotbal Nicolae Dobrin - Valea Ursului, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.