Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Townhead Park, Cumnock
The Footlab model makes Cumnock Juniors the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Troon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Cumnock Juniors (1,587) and Troon FC (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cumnock Juniors have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(away) | 3-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Beith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cumnock Juniors score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumnock Juniors | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cumnock Juniors sit 21st in Football League - Lowland League (5 points from 5 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 21 | Cumnock Juniors | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Cumnock Juniors the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Troon FC.
- Where and when is Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC played?
- Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Townhead Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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