Curaçao vs Dominican Republic: result 2-1 and analysis
Caribbean Cup1st Round - 2Kick-off on March 26, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Full time
What was the result of Curaçao vs Dominican Republic?
Curaçao won 2-1 on March 26, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curaçao have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Dominican Republic have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | Barbados(away) | 0-1 | Caribbean Cup |
| Sep 9, 2015 | El Salvador(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 4, 2015 | El Salvador(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Cuba(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 11, 2015 | Cuba(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2015 | Belize(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 11, 2015 | Belize(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 12, 2014 | St. Lucia(away) | 3-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Oct 10, 2014 | Antigua and Barbuda(home) | 0-0 | Caribbean Cup |
| Oct 9, 2014 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 1-6 | Caribbean Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Curaçao score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dominican Republic score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curaçao | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dominican Republic | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy