Curaçao vs Panama: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 9, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Ergilio Hato Stadium, Willemstad
The Footlab AI model makes Panama the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Curaçao. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panama wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curaçao vs Panama?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Curaçao (1,604) and Panama (1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curaçao vs Panama
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curaçao
4-2-3-1- 7J. Bacuna
- 8L. Comenencia
- 15A. Martha
- 6G. Roemeratoe
- 6N. Souren
- 22K. Felida
- 10L. Bacuna
- 5S. Floranus
- 3J. Gaari
- 2S. Sambo
- 1E. Room
Panama
3-4-2-1- 18J. Y. Vergara Ortega
- 7J. Rodríguez
- 14C. Harvey
- 8A. Carrasquilla
- 6Cristian Jesús Martínez
- 5V. Griffith
- 26A. Herbert
- 2C. Blackman
- 23A. Murillo
- 15J. Gutiérrez
- 12E. Roberts
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curaçao have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Panama have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Nicaragua(home) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Costa Rica(away) | 4-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ecuador(away) | 1-1 | Kirin Cup |
| Oct 1, 2026 | New Zealand(home) | 1-1 | Kirin Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | India(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2026 | England(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Curaçao wins, 1 draw, 2 Panama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Curaçao 1-2 Panama | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Curaçao 0-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Panama 2-1 Curaçao | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Curaçao score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Panama score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curaçao | 1.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Panama | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Curaçao vs Panama?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curaçao vs Panama?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panama the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Curaçao.
- Where and when is Curaçao vs Panama played?
- Curaçao vs Panama is played on November 9, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Ergilio Hato Stadium, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.