Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford AFC: result 5-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipDivision 1 - Round 3Kick-off on September 1, 2018 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Cwmbran, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford AFC?
Cwmbran Celtic won 5-3 on September 1, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cwmbran Celtic have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 1, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Port Talbot Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Goytre United(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 2, 2017 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2018 | Goytre United(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2017 | Aberdare Town(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Cwmbran Celtic score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cwmbran Celtic | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy