Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford
The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry?
Briton Ferry starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammanford AFC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Briton Ferry have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ammanford AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Briton Ferry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry 2-1 Ammanford AFC | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Briton Ferry 4-0 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ammanford AFC 2-1 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Ammanford AFC 0-1 Briton Ferry | League Cup |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Ammanford AFC 1-2 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Briton Ferry 2-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ammanford AFC sit 12th in Premier League (1 points from 4 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry played?
- Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ammanford Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.