Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 5, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Cwmbran, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?
Cwmbran Celtic won 3-2 on October 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 48′?Caerau (Ely)
- 79′?Cwmbran Celtic
- 89′?Cwmbran Celtic
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Cwmbran Celtic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cwmbran Celtic have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Trefelin(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Goytre United(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2024 | Goytre United(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Newport City(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cwmbran Celtic win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 4-2 Cwmbran Celtic | FAW Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic 3-2 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Caerau (Ely) 1-2 Cwmbran Celtic | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Caerau (Ely) 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Caerau (Ely) | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic on Jan 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cwmbran Celtic score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cwmbran Celtic | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy