Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely): result 0-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup2nd RoundKick-off on November 15, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
Full time
What was the result of Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 0-2 on November 15, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Cwmbran Celtic have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 6, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Penybont(home) | 0-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2014 | Taffs Well(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 5-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Cardiff Hibernian(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Flint Town United(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Holywell(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Cwmbran Celtic score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Caerau (Ely) score 3.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cwmbran Celtic | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 3.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/9 | 8/9 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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