Dalbeattie Star vs Newton Stewart: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Islecroft Stadium, Dalbeattie
The Footlab model makes Newton Stewart the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalbeattie Star vs Newton Stewart?
Newton Stewart starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,470 vs 1,259).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalbeattie Star have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Newton Stewart have 1, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/13 | 12/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dalbeattie Star sit 31st in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 5 matches) and Newton Stewart sit 32nd (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalbeattie Star vs Newton Stewart?
- The Footlab model makes Newton Stewart the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Dalbeattie Star vs Newton Stewart played?
- Dalbeattie Star vs Newton Stewart is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Islecroft Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers