Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alliance Park, Motherwell
The Footlab model makes Caledonian Braves the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Dalbeattie Star. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star?
Caledonian Braves is a heavy favourite: 1,679 Elo points against 1,259 — a 420-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caledonian Braves have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dalbeattie Star have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Clydebank(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Beith(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 6-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Largs Thistle(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(away) | 0-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Caledonian Braves win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dalbeattie Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | Caledonian Braves 10-0 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Dalbeattie Star 2-3 Caledonian Braves | Football League - Lowland League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Dalbeattie Star 0-2 Caledonian Braves | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 20, 2021 | Caledonian Braves 0-2 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Caledonian Braves 3-1 Dalbeattie Star | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star on Jan 3, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caledonian Braves score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dalbeattie Star score 0.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caledonian Braves | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Dalbeattie Star | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caledonian Braves sit 7th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Dalbeattie Star sit 31st (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caledonian Braves | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 31 | Dalbeattie Star | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star?
- The Footlab model makes Caledonian Braves the favourite at 77%, against 13% for a draw and 10% for Dalbeattie Star.
- Where and when is Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star played?
- Caledonian Braves vs Dalbeattie Star is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alliance Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
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