Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne: result 4-1 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 3, 2021 at 09:00 AM (UTC)George Andrews Reserve, Melbourne
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What was the result of Dandenong Thunder vs South Melbourne?
Dandenong Thunder won 4-1 on July 3, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 15′T. MaricicDandenong Thunder
- 30′H. WatsonDandenong Thunder
- 63′L. ElmaziSouth Melbourne
- 74′N. BonadaDandenong Thunder
- 77′67667Dandenong Thunder
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dandenong Thunder have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; South Melbourne have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2021 | Port Melbourne(away) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Eastern Lions(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| May 21, 2021 | Green Gully(away) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| May 15, 2021 | Altona Magic(home) | 3-1 | Victoria NPL |
| May 9, 2021 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 2-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2021 | Altona Magic(home) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Port Melbourne(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| May 22, 2021 | Bentleigh Greens(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| May 15, 2021 | Avondale(away) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL |
| May 7, 2021 | Melbourne Knights(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Dandenong Thunder win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 South Melbourne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2021 | South Melbourne 1-0 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 28, 2019 | South Melbourne 3-0 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Dandenong Thunder 2-2 South Melbourne | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder on Mar 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Dandenong Thunder score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; South Melbourne score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Thunder | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| South Melbourne | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dandenong Thunder sit 14th in Victoria NPL (15 points from 25 matches) and South Melbourne sit 5th (41 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Melbourne | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 41 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 59 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy