Danubio vs Cerro: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 6Kick-off on March 12, 2023 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Cerro?
Danubio won 1-0 on March 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 38′A. CruzDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Cerro have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2023 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Boston River(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Penarol(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Danubio win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | Cerro 0-0 Danubio | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 18, 2021 | Danubio 0-0 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Cerro 1-1 Danubio | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Danubio 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Cerro 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy