Danubio vs Emelec: result 2-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on April 5, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Emelec?
Danubio won 2-0 on April 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. MillánDanubio
- 90′G. MayDanubio
Official lineup for Danubio vs Emelec
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Danubio
4-3-3- 16A. Cruz
- 10G. May
- 30S. Fernández
- 6L. Sosa
- 14J. Millán
- 11F. González
- 22F. Saravia
- 20L. Ferreira
- 21M. Rea
- 17R. Haller
- 1M. Goicoechea
Emelec
4-2-3-1- 9A. Cabeza
- 11D. García
- 21J. Cevallos
- 24B. Carabalí
- 36C. Valencia
- 17J. Espinoza
- 6B. Agrón
- 3C. Fara
- 2A. Leguizamón
- 14R. Caicedo
- 12P. Ortíz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Emelec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Boston River(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 20, 2023 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Orense SC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Libertad(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Emelec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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