Danubio vs Juventud: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 6, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio won 4-1 on October 6, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 27′Marco AntônioJuventud
- 31′P. LimaDanubio
- 60′Líber Daniel Quiñones PrietoDanubio
- 66′P. LimaDanubio
- 86′Líber Daniel Quiñones PrietoDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Juventud have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Penarol(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Cerro(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2013 | Rentistas(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2013 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2013 | SUD America(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Danubio win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | Danubio 2-1 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Juventud 0-0 Danubio | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.6 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Juventud | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy