Danubio vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 8Kick-off on October 16, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on October 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′L. FernándezPenarol
Official lineup for Danubio vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Danubio
4-2-3-1- 30S. Fernández
- 8C. Tizón
- 10M. Cantera
- 16M. Peralta
- 6L. Sosa
- 19S. Romero
- 3M. Fracchia
- 44G. Fratta
- 14R. Brazionis
- 4E. Ancheta
- 1M. Goicoechea
Penarol
4-2-3-1- 11M. Silvera
- 8L. Fernández
- 97A. Medina
- 7J. Cabrera
- 14D. García
- 6R. Pérez
- 15M. Olivera
- 4Guzmán Rodríguez
- 23J. Méndez
- 20P. Milans
- 29W. Aguerre
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Penarol have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 15, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Flamengo(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cerro(away) | 5-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Danubio wins, 1 draw, 3 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Danubio 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Danubio 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División - Clausura (43 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
A question about Danubio vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy