Penarol vs Danubio: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 8Kick-off on April 14, 2024 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol won 2-0 on April 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 34′D. SosaPenarol
- 90′F. GonzálezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Danubio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | Caracas FC(home) | 5-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | Sportivo Ameliano(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Progreso(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Danubio 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Danubio 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy