Danubio vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa UruguayGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Danubio and Penarol drew 1-1 on September 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 52′G. RodriguezPenarol (o.g.)
- 80′M. PeraltaDanubio
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Penarol win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Penarol have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Danubio wins, 1 draw, 5 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Danubio 0-4 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Danubio vs Penarol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy